Politics Can Democratic House Candidates Run Away From Harris? The fate of the lower chamber seems to depend on the up-ballot race. Credit: image via Shutterstock All eyes are on the top of the ticket. The former President Donald Trump is looking to do what only one president has done before: return to the White House after spending four years in the wilderness. The polls have Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris locked in a dead heat. For both Trump and Harris, however, making a lasting impact in the first two years of their respective administrations hinges on down-ballot races, particularly those that will determine which party controls the House of Representatives. Certainly, taking back the Senate in 2024 remains vital to the success of a second Trump administration. But with an almost guaranteed victory for Gov. Jim Justice in West Virginia to make the Senate 50–50, Republicans need to only take one more seat from Democrats across a map that heavily advantages the GOP. Republican senate candidates in Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona, and Nevada all stand a fighting chance to flip a Democratic Senate seat. According to 538’s simulations, Republicans take the upper chamber in 90 of